Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Southern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#255
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#259
Pace67.7#164
Improvement+0.7#140

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#233
Improvement+1.7#78

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#270
Improvement-1.1#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2011 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 68-81 17%     0 - 1 -8.3 -9.8 +3.2
  Nov 19, 2011 180   @ Tennessee Tech W 68-63 22%     1 - 1 +7.6 +0.5 +7.5
  Nov 22, 2011 138   East Carolina L 47-67 23%     1 - 2 -17.7 -24.2 +6.0
  Dec 01, 2011 284   UNC Greensboro W 78-64 68%     2 - 2 1 - 0 +3.5 -4.2 +6.9
  Dec 03, 2011 237   @ Georgia Southern L 62-73 33%     2 - 3 1 - 1 -12.1 -11.5 -0.4
  Dec 06, 2011 56   @ Minnesota L 56-70 6%     2 - 4 -2.5 +0.1 -5.4
  Dec 10, 2011 152   East Tennessee St. L 48-65 37%     2 - 5 -19.1 -15.8 -6.3
  Dec 17, 2011 4   @ North Carolina L 82-97 1%     2 - 6 +7.0 +13.8 -5.8
  Dec 22, 2011 245   Campbell W 77-74 60%     3 - 6 -5.2 -2.5 -2.8
  Dec 30, 2011 41   @ Miami (FL) L 54-84 5%     3 - 7 -17.2 -12.0 -6.2
  Jan 05, 2012 279   @ Samford W 68-63 42%     4 - 7 2 - 1 +1.5 -10.1 +11.6
  Jan 07, 2012 274   @ Chattanooga L 63-65 40%     4 - 8 2 - 2 -5.0 -7.5 +2.4
  Jan 12, 2012 238   Furman W 56-50 59%     5 - 8 3 - 2 -1.9 -11.3 +10.3
  Jan 14, 2012 74   Davidson L 79-83 20%     5 - 9 3 - 3 -0.7 +5.7 -6.4
  Jan 19, 2012 199   @ Wofford L 61-73 25%     5 - 10 3 - 4 -10.5 +1.9 -14.9
  Jan 21, 2012 234   Western Carolina W 84-72 58%     6 - 10 4 - 4 +4.3 +1.9 +1.8
  Jan 26, 2012 284   @ UNC Greensboro L 73-77 OT 43%     6 - 11 4 - 5 -7.7 -8.5 +1.1
  Jan 28, 2012 261   Elon W 81-66 64%     7 - 11 5 - 5 +5.6 -3.7 +8.0
  Feb 02, 2012 279   Samford L 52-53 67%     7 - 12 5 - 6 -11.3 -18.2 +6.7
  Feb 04, 2012 168   College of Charleston L 62-74 42%     7 - 13 5 - 7 -15.5 -8.5 -7.6
  Feb 06, 2012 261   @ Elon L 59-82 38%     7 - 14 5 - 8 -25.6 -14.2 -11.7
  Feb 09, 2012 238   @ Furman W 79-69 33%     8 - 14 6 - 8 +8.9 +6.1 +2.7
  Feb 11, 2012 199   Wofford L 64-66 49%     8 - 15 6 - 9 -7.3 -9.7 +2.4
  Feb 15, 2012 274   Chattanooga W 79-70 66%     9 - 15 7 - 9 -0.8 +2.6 -3.3
  Feb 18, 2012 264   Winthrop W 76-64 64%     10 - 15 +2.6 +6.7 -3.4
  Feb 22, 2012 319   @ The Citadel L 51-62 62%     10 - 16 7 - 10 -19.7 -14.3 -7.7
  Feb 25, 2012 234   @ Western Carolina L 75-83 32%     10 - 17 7 - 11 -8.9 -7.4 -0.7
  Mar 02, 2012 168   College of Charleston W 93-81 30%     11 - 17 +11.9 +12.9 -2.1
  Mar 03, 2012 284   UNC Greensboro L 55-65 56%     11 - 18 -17.1 -19.3 +1.9
Projected Record 11.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%